La escuela de los momios

Jaqueline Cristian v Beatriz Haddad Maia

Inicio: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Predicción 65.70%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -5.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.16%65.82%65.85%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.441.451.4871.94%69.25%68.97%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visitante)

Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +0.969%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%34.18%34.15%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.703.0039.22%36.39%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +2.91%E +0.969%K +1.45%G +0.042%2.8%2026-05-05 14:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.91%E +0.969%K +1.45%G +0.042%4.8%2026-05-04 16:40
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.37%E -5.22%K -17.97%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +0.848%E +0.288%K +0.437%G +0.004%4.9%2026-05-05 14:34
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.162%E +0.055%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 14:34
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 17:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:34
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:34
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:34
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.24%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:50
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 20:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.64%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:00
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 06:50
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:49
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:50
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 20:00
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -6.36%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 20:00
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 19:59
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 20:00
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 19:59
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 19:59
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 20:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 19:57
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.68%E -6.24%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 14:31
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 19:53
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -8.76%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 20:00
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 20:00
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 20:00
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.53%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-05-05 17:50
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%3.7%2026-05-06 04:05
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.27%12.1%2026-05-05 21:20