Language:English
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Laura Siegemund
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Prediction 43.82%2.28fair odd
EV -0.088%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%45.07%43.42%53.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.782.002.002.2856.18%50.07%50.00%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Laura Siegemund (Visit)
Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV +14.04%
Edge +6.92%
Kelly +13.63%
Growth +1.91%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%54.93%56.58%58.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.791.752.0363.69%55.84%57.14%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 43.82%; Laura Siegemund (Visit): 56.18%. For Laura Siegemund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 25 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -21.56%E -12.04%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +14.04%E +6.92%K +13.63%G +1.91% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV +14.04%E +6.92%K +13.63%G +1.91% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -19.81%E -10.82%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +13.48%E +6.67%K +13.22%G +1.78% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +13.48%E +6.67%K +13.22%G +1.78% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +12.36%E +6.18%K +12.36%G +1.53% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +12.36%E +6.18%K +12.36%G +1.53% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +12.36%E +6.18%K +12.36%G +1.53% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -20.25%E -11.12%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV +11.23%E +5.67%K +11.46%G +1.29% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV +10.67%E +5.42%K +11.00%G +1.17% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -18.49%E -9.94%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +10.11%E +5.16%K +10.53%G +1.06% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -18.49%E -9.94%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +10.11%E +5.16%K +10.53%G +1.06% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -20.25%E -11.12%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +7.86%E +4.10%K +8.55%G +0.672% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +7.86%E +4.10%K +8.55%G +0.672% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -14.11%E -7.20%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +2.81%E +1.53%K +3.38%G +0.095% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -14.11%E -7.20%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +2.81%E +1.53%K +3.38%G +0.095% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -14.11%E -7.20%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +2.81%E +1.53%K +3.38%G +0.095% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -14.99%E -7.73%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV +1.68%E +0.930%K +2.08%G +0.035% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.12%E +0.623%K +1.40%G +0.016% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -15.43%E -7.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV +1.12%E +0.623%K +1.40%G +0.016% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -15.43%E -7.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV +1.12%E +0.623%K +1.40%G +0.016% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -17.18%E -9.09%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -0.563%E -0.318%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.25%E -1.29%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -18.05%E -9.65%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -2.25%E -1.29%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -9.73%E -4.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -2.81%E -1.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.81%E -1.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.81%E -1.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:28 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -14.55%E -7.46%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -11.48%E -5.68%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.50%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.62%E -3.34%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.088%E -0.039%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.78%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -4.03%E -1.84%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -13.23%E -6.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.43%E -5.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |