La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Laura Siegemund
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Predicción 43.82%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.088%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.64%45.07%43.42%53.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.002.002.2856.18%50.07%50.00%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Laura Siegemund (Visitante)
Predicción 56.18%1.78momio equitativo
EV +14.04%
Ventaja +6.92%
Kelly +13.63%
Crecimiento +1.91%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.72%54.93%56.58%58.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.791.752.0363.69%55.84%57.14%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -21.56%E -12.04%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +14.04%E +6.92%K +13.63%G +1.91% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:14 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV +14.04%E +6.92%K +13.63%G +1.91% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 15:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -19.81%E -10.82%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +13.48%E +6.67%K +13.22%G +1.78% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +13.48%E +6.67%K +13.22%G +1.78% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +12.36%E +6.18%K +12.36%G +1.53% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +12.36%E +6.18%K +12.36%G +1.53% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +12.36%E +6.18%K +12.36%G +1.53% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -20.25%E -11.12%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV +11.23%E +5.67%K +11.46%G +1.29% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -22.00%E -12.36%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV +10.67%E +5.42%K +11.00%G +1.17% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -18.49%E -9.94%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +10.11%E +5.16%K +10.53%G +1.06% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:21 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -18.49%E -9.94%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +10.11%E +5.16%K +10.53%G +1.06% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:18 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -18.93%E -10.23%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -20.25%E -11.12%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +9.55%E +4.90%K +10.05%G +0.960% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:14 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +7.86%E +4.10%K +8.55%G +0.672% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -21.12%E -11.73%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +7.86%E +4.10%K +8.55%G +0.672% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:20 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -14.11%E -7.20%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +2.81%E +1.53%K +3.38%G +0.095% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -14.11%E -7.20%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +2.81%E +1.53%K +3.38%G +0.095% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -14.11%E -7.20%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +2.81%E +1.53%K +3.38%G +0.095% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -14.99%E -7.73%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV +1.68%E +0.930%K +2.08%G +0.035% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.12%E +0.623%K +1.40%G +0.016% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -15.43%E -7.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV +1.12%E +0.623%K +1.40%G +0.016% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -15.43%E -7.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV +1.12%E +0.623%K +1.40%G +0.016% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -17.18%E -9.09%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -0.563%E -0.318%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.69%E -0.964%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.25%E -1.29%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -18.05%E -9.65%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -2.25%E -1.29%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -9.73%E -4.72%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -2.81%E -1.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.81%E -1.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.81%E -1.62%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:28 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -14.55%E -7.46%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.50%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -11.48%E -5.68%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.50%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.62%E -3.34%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.088%E -0.039%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.78%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -4.03%E -1.84%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -13.23%E -6.68%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.43%E -5.17%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:30 |