Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dalma Galfi v Anastasia Potapova

Início: 2026-05-06 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Previsão 30.31%3.30odd justa
EV -0.598%
Vantagem -0.182%
Kelly -0.262%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.85%30.29%30.02%31.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.123.103.2833.90%32.09%32.26%30.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Previsão 69.69%1.43odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -2.77%
Kelly -10.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%69.71%69.98%71.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.351.361.3875.76%73.82%73.53%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dalma Galfi (Local): 30.31%; Anastasia Potapova (Visitante): 69.69%. Para Dalma Galfi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.30. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.28, com valor esperado de -0.598%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.598%E -0.182%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:54
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.20%E -0.369%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 14:53
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:52
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:52
SportsBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.11%E -0.654%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:49
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:49
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:51
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.63%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:52
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:52
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:53
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:54
GTbets🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:49
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:51
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:56
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.96%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:56
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:53
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 14:53
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-05-06 14:56
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%4.1%2026-05-06 14:55