La escuela de los momios

Dalma Galfi v Anastasia Potapova

Inicio: 2026-05-06 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Predicción 30.31%3.30momio equitativo
EV -0.598%
Ventaja -0.182%
Kelly -0.262%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.85%30.29%30.02%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.123.103.2833.90%32.09%32.26%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Predicción 69.69%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -2.77%
Kelly -10.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%69.71%69.98%71.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.351.361.3875.76%73.82%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.598%E -0.182%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:54
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.20%E -0.369%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 14:55
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 14:53
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:52
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:52
SportsBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.11%E -0.654%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:49
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:49
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:51
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.63%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:52
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:52
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:49
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:53
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:55
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:54
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:49
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:51
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:56
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.96%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:56
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:56
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:53
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:53
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 14:53
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-05-06 14:56
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%4.1%2026-05-06 14:55