La scuola delle quote

Dalma Galfi v Anastasia Potapova

Inizio: 2026-05-06 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dalma Galfi (Casa)

Previsione 30.31%3.30quota equa
EV -0.598%
Vantaggio -0.182%
Kelly -0.262%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.85%30.29%30.02%31.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.123.103.2833.90%32.09%32.26%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anastasia Potapova (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.69%1.43quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -2.77%
Kelly -10.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%69.71%69.98%71.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.351.361.3875.76%73.82%73.53%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -0.598%E -0.182%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:54
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.20%E -0.369%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 14:55
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 14:53
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:52
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.51%E -0.464%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 14:52
SportsBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.11%E -0.654%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:55
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 14:49
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.02%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:49
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.33%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:51
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.63%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:52
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:52
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:49
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:53
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:55
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:54
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:49
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:51
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:56
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.05%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.96%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:56
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 14:55
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.57%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:55
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.82%E -2.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:56
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:53
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:53
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.03%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 14:53
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.60%E -3.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 14:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-05-06 14:56
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%4.1%2026-05-06 14:55