Language:English
Coco Gauff v Solana Sierra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coco Gauff (Local)
Prediction 88.03%1.14fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -20.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%87.90%87.98%89.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.62%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Solana Sierra (Visit)
Prediction 11.97%8.36fair odd
EV +11.31%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 9.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.23%12.10%12.02%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.817.889.3015.38%12.80%12.69%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 88.03%; Solana Sierra (Visit): 11.97%. For Solana Sierra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.36. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.45%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +11.31%E +1.22%K +1.36%G +0.154% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.72%E +0.857%K +0.965%G +0.074% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.90%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 8.81I 11.35%NM 11.10%EV +5.44%E +0.618%K +0.697%G +0.038% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +4.73%E +0.540%K +0.610%G +0.029% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 08:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +4.13%E +0.474%K +0.536%G +0.022% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.73%E +0.204%K +0.231%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.73%E +0.204%K +0.231%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.73%E +0.204%K +0.231%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -1.26%E -0.153%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 08:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.26%E -0.153%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.45%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -1.26%E -0.153%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.07%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.93%EV -3.65%E -0.454%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 05:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 05:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -5.69%E -0.722%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -5.69%E -0.722%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -7.57%E -7.21%K -151.34%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -7.24%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.84%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.84%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 03:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 03:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.74%EV -2.29%E -2.06%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.26I 13.77%NM 13.26%EV -13.11%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -13.23%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -13.23%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -13.23%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 05:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 08:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.20%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 08:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.20%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 03:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.55% | 9.43I 10.60%NM 10.45% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 07:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 08:49 |