L’École des cotes

Coco Gauff v Solana Sierra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 88.03%1.14cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -20.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.53%87.90%87.98%89.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.62%92.59%90.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Solana Sierra (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.97%8.36cote équitable
EV +11.31%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 9.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.23%12.10%12.02%14.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.817.889.3015.38%12.80%12.69%10.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.45%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +11.31%E +1.22%K +1.36%G +0.154%5.1%2026-05-09 05:34
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.72%E +0.857%K +0.965%G +0.074%3.7%2026-05-09 08:35
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.90%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000%8.81I 11.35%NM 11.10%EV +5.44%E +0.618%K +0.697%G +0.038%2.3%2026-05-09 08:34
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +4.73%E +0.540%K +0.610%G +0.029%4.0%2026-05-09 08:29
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +4.13%E +0.474%K +0.536%G +0.022%4.1%2026-05-09 05:34
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.73%E +0.204%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.2%2026-05-09 03:49
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.73%E +0.204%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.2%2026-05-09 05:34
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +1.73%E +0.204%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.2%2026-05-09 08:35
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -1.26%E -0.153%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 08:35
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.26%E -0.153%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 08:34
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.45%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -1.26%E -0.153%K -0.174%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 08:35
1xBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.07%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.93%EV -3.65%E -0.454%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 05:54
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 05:04
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 05:34
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
Grosvenor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 03:49
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 04:24
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 04:24
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 04:24
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 04:24
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 04:24
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.25%E -0.531%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 03:49
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -5.69%E -0.722%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -5.69%E -0.722%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 08:50
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 04:24
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 04:24
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 08:34
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 08:34
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 08:34
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -7.57%E -7.21%K -151.34%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -6.64%E -0.852%K -0.977%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 05:54
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -7.24%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 08:34
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.84%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 03:49
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -7.84%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:54
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 08:34
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 03:50
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 05:54
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 05:54
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 03:49
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 08:34
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 08:34
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 08:34
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.24%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 03:50
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.74%EV -2.29%E -2.06%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.26%EV -13.11%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 03:49
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -13.23%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -13.23%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 05:54
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -13.23%E -1.82%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 05:54
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 08:44
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 08:50
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 03:49
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 03:49
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.22%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 08:34
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.20%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 08:47
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.20%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 03:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.55%9.43I 10.60%NM 10.45%1.5%2026-05-09 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-05-09 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-05-09 08:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-05-09 08:50
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-05-09 08:50
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%3.5%2026-05-09 08:49