Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-05-11 10:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 72.48%1.38fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%72.43%72.56%75.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3680.00%76.17%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%27.57%27.44%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.8031.75%29.41%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 72.48%; Iva Jović (Visit): 27.52%. For Iva Jović (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%3.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.39%E -7.52%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%6.3%2026-05-11 10:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.433%E +0.119%K +0.163%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-11 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.118%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 10:26
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.32%E -0.653%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:29
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -2.59%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:30
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:30
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 10:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 10:29
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 10:29
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:34
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.90%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 10:29
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:29
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:29
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:34
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:29
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 10:29
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 10:30
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.42%E -1.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:29
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:24
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.76%3.91I 25.58%NM 25.24%1.3%2026-05-11 10:34
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-05-11 10:35