Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coco Gauff v Iva Jović

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 10:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 72.48%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.18%72.43%72.56%75.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.321.3680.00%76.17%75.76%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV +4.56%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%27.57%27.44%29.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.8031.75%29.41%29.41%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Coco Gauff (Local) : 72.48% ; Iva Jović (Visiteur) : 27.52%. Pour Iva Jović (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.63. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +4.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%3.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.39%E -7.52%K -37.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%6.3%2026-05-11 10:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +0.433%E +0.119%K +0.163%G +0.001%5.5%2026-05-11 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.118%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 10:26
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.50%E -5.04%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.32%E -0.653%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:29
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -2.59%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:30
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:30
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 10:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 10:29
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 10:29
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:34
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.90%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 10:29
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:29
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:29
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:34
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.05%E -3.85%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:34
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:29
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 10:29
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 10:30
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.42%E -1.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:29
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.60%E -2.70%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:24
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.76%3.91I 25.58%NM 25.24%1.3%2026-05-11 10:34
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-05-11 10:35