Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Zakharova v Dayana Yastremska

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Zakharova (Local)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV +0.663%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%29.54%29.52%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4133.33%31.42%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dayana Yastremska (Visit)

Prediction 70.48%1.42fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -11.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.97%70.46%70.48%71.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3676.92%74.22%74.07%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Zakharova (Local): 29.52%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 70.48%. For Anastasia Zakharova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.663%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV +0.663%E +0.194%K +0.275%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.368%E +0.108%K +0.153%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.11%E -0.331%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 11:20
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.97%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 06:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 06:44
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:05
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 01:39
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 02:14
DraftKings🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 06:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:24
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 12:05
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 12:25
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:20
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.97%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 06:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.38%E -6.44%K -27.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 07:03
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.13%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 20:44
GTbets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.42%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 19:59
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 19:25
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 08:40
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 20:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 18:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 01:24
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:05
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 18:45
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 06:44
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 21:44
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 02:08
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 05:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.34%3.8%2026-05-05 11:27