La escuela de los momios

Anastasia Zakharova v Dayana Yastremska

Inicio: 2026-05-05 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anastasia Zakharova (Local)

Predicción 29.52%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.663%
Ventaja +0.194%
Kelly +0.275%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.51%29.54%29.52%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.203.4133.33%31.42%31.25%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dayana Yastremska (Visitante)

Predicción 70.48%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -3.05%
Kelly -11.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.97%70.46%70.48%71.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.3676.92%74.22%74.07%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV +0.663%E +0.194%K +0.275%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 11:00
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.368%E +0.108%K +0.153%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 12:25
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.11%E -0.331%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 11:20
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 19:25
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.58%E -0.783%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.97%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 12:04
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 06:45
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 06:44
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
ReBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:05
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 01:39
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 02:14
DraftKings3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 06:45
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 01:24
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 12:05
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 12:05
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 12:25
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:24
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:05
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 11:20
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.97%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 06:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.38%E -6.44%K -27.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 07:03
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.13%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 20:44
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.42%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 19:59
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:45
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 19:25
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 08:40
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 20:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 18:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:14
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 01:24
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:05
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 18:45
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 06:44
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 21:44
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 02:08
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 05:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.34%3.8%2026-05-05 11:27