Language:English
Anastasia Potapova v Karolina Muchova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Prediction 33.74%2.96fair odd
EV +8.64%
Edge +2.68%
Kelly +3.89%
Growth +0.336%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%33.33%33.88%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.753.2240.00%35.87%36.36%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Muchova (Visit)
Prediction 66.26%1.51fair odd
EV +0.053%
Edge +0.035%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%66.67%66.12%71.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.421.431.5177.52%70.48%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 33.74%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 66.26%. For Anastasia Potapova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV +8.64%E +2.68%K +3.89%G +0.336% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -14.52%E -11.26%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 11:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +7.97%E +2.49%K +3.62%G +0.288% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -9.89%E -7.27%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +7.97%E +2.49%K +3.62%G +0.288% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.86%E -10.66%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.59%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.100% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +4.59%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.100% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.87%E -8.93%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +4.59%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.100% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.87%E -8.93%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.92%E +1.27%K +1.88%G +0.074% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +1.56%E +0.517%K +0.774%G +0.012% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.469%E -0.159%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.806%E -0.274%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.16%E -0.743%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.19%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.26%E -2.23%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 10:57 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 10:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -9.24%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV +0.053%E +0.035%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 10:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.27%E -0.854%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.27%E -0.854%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -9.89%E -7.27%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 11:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 11:04 |