La escuela de los momios

Anastasia Potapova v Karolina Muchova

Inicio: 2026-05-08 11:09 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Predicción 33.74%2.96momio equitativo
EV +8.64%
Ventaja +2.68%
Kelly +3.89%
Crecimiento +0.336%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%33.33%33.88%37.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.753.2240.00%35.87%36.36%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Predicción 66.26%1.51momio equitativo
EV +0.053%
Ventaja +0.035%
Kelly +0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.81%66.67%66.12%71.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.421.431.5177.52%70.48%69.93%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV +8.64%E +2.68%K +3.89%G +0.336%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -14.52%E -11.26%K -50.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 11:03
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +7.97%E +2.49%K +3.62%G +0.288%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -9.89%E -7.27%K -27.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 11:04
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +7.97%E +2.49%K +3.62%G +0.288%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.86%E -10.66%K -46.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 11:04
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.59%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.100%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:04
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +4.59%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.100%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.87%E -8.93%K -35.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +4.59%E +1.48%K +2.19%G +0.100%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.87%E -8.93%K -35.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 11:04
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.92%E +1.27%K +1.88%G +0.074%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:59
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +1.56%E +0.517%K +0.774%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:04
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.469%E -0.159%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:05
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.806%E -0.274%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 10:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.16%E -0.743%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 11:04
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 10:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 10:49
Coolbet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.19%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 11:05
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 10:49
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 11:04
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 11:04
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 10:59
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.53%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 11:04
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.54%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.26%E -2.23%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 10:57
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 11:04
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 11:04
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 11:04
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 11:04
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 11:04
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 11:04
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 11:04
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 10:49
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 11:05
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 11:04
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.22%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 11:04
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 10:49
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:49
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 11:04
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.91%E -4.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 10:49
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 11:04
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 10:55
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.90%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 11:04
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -9.24%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV +0.053%E +0.035%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 10:50
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.59%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 11:00
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.27%E -0.854%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.27%E -0.854%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:05
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -11.27%E -4.28%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.91%EV -9.89%E -7.27%K -27.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 11:04
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.60%E -4.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 11:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 11:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:49
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.93%E -1.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:49
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -15.65%E -6.26%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 11:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-05-08 11:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-05-08 11:04
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-05-08 11:05
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-05-08 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-05-08 11:04
Novig2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%7.7%2026-05-08 11:04