Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v McCartney Kessler
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 42.45%2.36fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%42.15%42.36%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.4346.51%44.49%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
McCartney Kessler (Visit)
Prediction 57.55%1.74fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.56%57.85%57.64%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.641.631.7063.29%61.09%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 42.45%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 57.55%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +3.15%E +1.30%K +2.21%G +0.070% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.88%E +0.784%K +1.34%G +0.025% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.88%E +0.784%K +1.34%G +0.025% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +1.88%E +0.784%K +1.34%G +0.025% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -0.242%E -0.103%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.52%E -0.653%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.52%E -0.653%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -4.06%E -1.80%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.17%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 21:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.34%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.32%E -1.97%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.32%E -1.97%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |