A Escola das Odds

Zeynep Sonmez v McCartney Kessler

Início: 2026-03-04 21:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Previsão 42.45%2.36odd justa
EV +3.15%
Vantagem +1.30%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescimento +0.070%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.70%42.15%42.36%43.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.4346.51%44.49%44.44%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

McCartney Kessler (Visitante)

Previsão 57.55%1.74odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.56%57.85%57.64%60.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.581.641.631.7063.29%61.09%61.35%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +3.15%E +1.30%K +2.21%G +0.070%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 21:15
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.88%E +0.784%K +1.34%G +0.025%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 21:15
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.88%E +0.784%K +1.34%G +0.025%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 21:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +1.88%E +0.784%K +1.34%G +0.025%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -0.242%E -0.103%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:15
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.52%E -0.653%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:15
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.52%E -0.653%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:14
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 21:15
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.21%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:15
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -4.06%E -1.80%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 21:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.17%E -1.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 21:15
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:15
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:14
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:15
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 21:11
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.34%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:15
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:13
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.32%E -1.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:14
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.32%E -1.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:09
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:15
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:15
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:14
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:14
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:14
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-04 21:15