Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Victoria Mboko v Kimberly Birrell

Início: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Previsão 80.79%1.24odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -2.54%
Kelly -15.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%80.73%80.86%81.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.181.181.2088.50%85.09%84.75%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kimberly Birrell (Visitante)

Previsão 19.21%5.21odd justa
EV +1.81%
Vantagem +0.342%
Kelly +0.421%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.21%19.27%19.14%21.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.905.005.3022.73%20.39%20.00%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Victoria Mboko (Local): 80.79%; Kimberly Birrell (Visitante): 19.21%. Para Kimberly Birrell (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.21. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.81%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.81%E +0.342%K +0.421%G +0.008%3.6%2026-03-06 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.852%E +0.162%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-06 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.109%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.03%E -0.398%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 18:51
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -2.99%E -0.592%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:51
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -3.37%E -0.671%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:40
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:51
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:21
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:51
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:00
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 17:10
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 17:11
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:50
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.90%E -6.93%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 04:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.71%E -7.71%K -66.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.26%EV -4.14%E -0.830%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 09:35
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV -4.14%E -0.830%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:01
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 11:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 18:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.09%E -6.17%K -47.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.83%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.83%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:00
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.83%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.79%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.79%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -7.98%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -7.98%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:00
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.75%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.75%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 15:15
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.75%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.71%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.71%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:45
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.63%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.63%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 15:20
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.63%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 11:54
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 15:15
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.48%E -3.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:51
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 81.03%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.97%1.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%2.3%2026-03-06 18:50