L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Kimberly Birrell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 80.79%1.24cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -15.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%80.73%80.86%81.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.181.181.2088.50%85.09%84.75%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kimberly Birrell (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.21%5.21cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.421%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.21%19.27%19.14%21.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.905.005.3022.73%20.39%20.00%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.81%E +0.342%K +0.421%G +0.008%3.6%2026-03-06 11:50
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.852%E +0.162%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-06 18:00
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.109%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.03%E -0.398%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 18:51
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -2.99%E -0.592%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:51
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -3.37%E -0.671%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:40
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:50
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 11:51
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:21
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:21
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:21
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 09:25
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 14:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:51
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 17:10
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:09
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 17:11
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:50
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.90%E -6.93%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 04:14
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.71%E -7.71%K -66.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.95%E -0.790%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 11:55
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.74%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.26%EV -4.14%E -0.830%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 09:35
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV -4.14%E -0.830%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:05
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:01
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 18:51
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.09%E -6.17%K -47.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 18:50
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.83%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:45
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.83%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:00
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.83%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.79%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:00
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.28%E -5.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.79%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:00
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -7.98%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -7.98%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.75%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 18:00
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.75%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 15:15
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.75%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:56
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.71%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.71%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:55
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.67%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 18:45
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.86%E -3.24%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.63%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.63%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 15:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.63%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 15:20
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 11:54
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 15:15
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.48%E -3.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-03-06 18:51
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 81.03%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.97%1.2%2026-03-06 18:40
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%2.3%2026-03-06 18:50