Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Mboko v Anna Kalinskaya

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prediction 60.65%1.65fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%60.62%60.72%61.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.571.6266.23%63.90%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.23%39.38%39.28%40.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.402.402.5042.55%41.60%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 60.65%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 39.35%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.97%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 02:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.97%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.01%E -0.807%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 02:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.01%E -0.807%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 02:54
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:14
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 23:14
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 11:25
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 23:14
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 21:15
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:29
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 02:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 02:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 02:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 02:54
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 02:48
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:54
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.40%E -0.969%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 21:20
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 01:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.82%E -5.14%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 17:14
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 01:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-09 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%1.3%2026-03-09 02:54
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-03-09 02:50