L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 60.65%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%60.62%60.72%61.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.561.571.6266.23%63.90%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.35%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.23%39.38%39.28%40.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.402.402.5042.55%41.60%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 11:50
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.97%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 02:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.97%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 21:15
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 02:54
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.01%E -0.807%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 02:29
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.01%E -0.807%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 02:29
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 02:54
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:14
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 23:14
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 02:10
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 11:25
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 23:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:10
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:54
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:45
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 21:15
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:09
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 23:15
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:29
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:00
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 02:14
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 02:54
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 02:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 02:54
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:39
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.58%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 02:48
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.40%E -0.969%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 21:20
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 02:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:40
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 01:38
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.82%E -5.14%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 17:14
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 01:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-09 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%1.3%2026-03-09 02:54
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-03-09 02:50