L’École des cotes

Talia Gibson v Jasmine Paolini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 20:29 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV +17.10%
Avantage +4.44%
Kelly +6.00%
Croissance +1.03%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%30.26%30.89%35.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.223.253.8537.04%31.05%30.77%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jasmine Paolini (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.59%1.44cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +4.87%
Croissance +0.112%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.75%69.74%69.11%75.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.341.331.4780.00%74.91%75.19%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +17.10%E +4.44%K +6.00%G +1.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:25
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +17.10%E +4.44%K +6.00%G +1.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:25
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +14.05%E +3.75%K +5.11%G +0.718%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +12.53%E +3.39%K +4.64%G +0.582%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -13.02%E -10.41%K -52.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:25
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +12.53%E +3.39%K +4.64%G +0.582%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -13.02%E -10.41%K -52.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +9.49%E +2.64%K +3.65%G +0.347%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:25
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +7.97%E +2.25%K +3.13%G +0.249%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:25
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.45%E +1.84%K +2.58%G +0.166%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +6.45%E +1.84%K +2.58%G +0.166%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -11.63%E -9.15%K -43.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 20:25
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +4.93%E +1.43%K +2.01%G +0.099%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-10 20:20
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +4.93%E +1.43%K +2.01%G +0.099%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 20:25
DraftKings3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +3.71%E +1.09%K +1.54%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 20:25
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV +1.89%E +0.564%K +0.804%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -11.63%E -9.15%K -43.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 20:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -10.93%E -8.54%K -39.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.76%E -5.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.76%E -5.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:25
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:24
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 20:25
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:23
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:11
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:25
GTbets3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:19
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 20:09
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:20
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:20
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:19
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:12
Unibet (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:25
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.58%E -1.84%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 20:24
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:10
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:24
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 20:13
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 20:20
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -15.75%E -5.69%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +1.59%E +1.09%K +3.47%G +0.055%4.6%2026-03-10 20:14
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -17.88%E -6.62%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +2.29%E +1.56%K +4.87%G +0.112%5.1%2026-03-10 20:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-10 20:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-10 20:25
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%1.7%2026-03-10 20:25
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.5%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%4.7%2026-03-10 20:25