مدرسة الاحتمالات

Talia Gibson v Jasmine Paolini

البداية: 2026-03-10 20:29 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Talia Gibson (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.41%3.29السعر العادل
EV +17.10%
الأفضلية +4.44%
Kelly +6.00%
النمو +1.03%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.66%30.26%30.89%35.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.223.253.8537.04%31.05%30.77%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jasmine Paolini (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.59%1.44السعر العادل
EV +2.29%
الأفضلية +1.56%
Kelly +4.87%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.75%69.74%69.11%75.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.341.331.4780.00%74.91%75.19%68.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +17.10%E +4.44%K +6.00%G +1.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:25
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +17.10%E +4.44%K +6.00%G +1.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:25
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +14.05%E +3.75%K +5.11%G +0.718%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +12.53%E +3.39%K +4.64%G +0.582%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -13.02%E -10.41%K -52.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:25
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +12.53%E +3.39%K +4.64%G +0.582%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -13.02%E -10.41%K -52.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +9.49%E +2.64%K +3.65%G +0.347%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:25
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +7.97%E +2.25%K +3.13%G +0.249%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:25
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.45%E +1.84%K +2.58%G +0.166%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +6.45%E +1.84%K +2.58%G +0.166%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -11.63%E -9.15%K -43.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 20:25
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +4.93%E +1.43%K +2.01%G +0.099%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-10 20:20
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +4.93%E +1.43%K +2.01%G +0.099%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 20:25
DraftKings3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +3.71%E +1.09%K +1.54%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 20:25
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV +1.89%E +0.564%K +0.804%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -11.63%E -9.15%K -43.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 20:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -10.93%E -8.54%K -39.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.76%E -5.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.76%E -5.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:25
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:24
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 20:25
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:23
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:11
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:25
GTbets3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:19
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 20:09
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:20
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:20
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:19
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:12
Unibet (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:25
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.58%E -1.84%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 20:24
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:10
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:24
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 20:13
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 20:20
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -15.75%E -5.69%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +1.59%E +1.09%K +3.47%G +0.055%4.6%2026-03-10 20:14
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -17.88%E -6.62%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +2.29%E +1.56%K +4.87%G +0.112%5.1%2026-03-10 20:23
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-10 20:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-10 20:25
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%1.7%2026-03-10 20:25
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.5%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%4.7%2026-03-10 20:25