La escuela de los momios

Talia Gibson v Jasmine Paolini

Inicio: 2026-03-10 20:29 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV +17.10%
Ventaja +4.44%
Kelly +6.00%
Crecimiento +1.03%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%30.26%30.89%35.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.223.253.8537.04%31.05%30.77%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jasmine Paolini (Visitante)

Predicción 69.59%1.44momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +4.87%
Crecimiento +0.112%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.75%69.74%69.11%75.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.341.331.4780.00%74.91%75.19%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +17.10%E +4.44%K +6.00%G +1.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:25
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +17.10%E +4.44%K +6.00%G +1.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:25
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +14.05%E +3.75%K +5.11%G +0.718%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +12.53%E +3.39%K +4.64%G +0.582%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -13.02%E -10.41%K -52.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:25
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +12.53%E +3.39%K +4.64%G +0.582%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -13.02%E -10.41%K -52.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +9.49%E +2.64%K +3.65%G +0.347%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:25
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +7.97%E +2.25%K +3.13%G +0.249%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:25
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +6.45%E +1.84%K +2.58%G +0.166%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +6.45%E +1.84%K +2.58%G +0.166%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -11.63%E -9.15%K -43.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 20:25
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV +4.93%E +1.43%K +2.01%G +0.099%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-10 20:20
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +4.93%E +1.43%K +2.01%G +0.099%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -12.32%E -9.78%K -47.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 20:25
DraftKings3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +3.71%E +1.09%K +1.54%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 20:25
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +3.41%E +1.00%K +1.42%G +0.048%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV +1.89%E +0.564%K +0.804%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -11.63%E -9.15%K -43.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 20:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.84%E -6.75%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.54%E -7.34%K -31.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 20:25
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +0.368%E +0.111%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -10.93%E -8.54%K -39.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.76%E -5.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.76%E -5.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:25
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:24
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.23%E -7.93%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 20:25
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:23
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:11
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.15%E -6.17%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:25
GTbets3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:19
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 20:09
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:20
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:20
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:19
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 20:12
Unibet (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.67%E -3.41%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:25
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.58%E -1.84%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.45%E -5.60%K -22.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 20:24
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:10
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:24
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.36%E -3.94%K -14.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 20:13
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.06%E -4.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:25
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -3.97%E -2.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 20:20
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -15.75%E -5.69%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +1.59%E +1.09%K +3.47%G +0.055%4.6%2026-03-10 20:14
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -17.88%E -6.62%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +2.29%E +1.56%K +4.87%G +0.112%5.1%2026-03-10 20:23
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-10 20:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-10 20:25
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%1.7%2026-03-10 20:25
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%3.5%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%4.7%2026-03-10 20:25