Language:English
Talia Gibson v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talia Gibson (Local)
Prediction 21.34%4.69fair odd
EV +19.48%
Edge +3.48%
Kelly +4.23%
Growth +0.825%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.92%21.81%20.77%29.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.234.274.305.6030.96%23.40%23.26%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 78.66%1.27fair odd
EV +6.20%
Edge +4.59%
Kelly +17.71%
Growth +1.10%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.52%78.19%79.23%83.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.211.201.3589.29%82.32%83.33%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 21.34%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 78.66%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -31.09%E -9.62%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV +6.20%E +4.59%K +17.71%G +1.10% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.98%EV -19.78%E -5.26%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.02%EV +3.84%E +2.91%K +11.99%G +0.460% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -21.70%E -5.91%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.55%G +0.171% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -21.70%E -5.91%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.55%G +0.171% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -26.39%E -7.65%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.55%G +0.171% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -19.99%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 18:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -25.33%E -7.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -22.13%E -6.06%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -25.33%E -7.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.39%E -7.65%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.39%E -7.65%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -19.99%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -0.096%E -0.075%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -17.01%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -0.882%E -0.700%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -19.99%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -0.882%E -0.700%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -0.882%E -0.700%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.66%E -3.66%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.66%E -3.66%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.73%E -3.98%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.66%E -3.66%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV +4.76%E +0.968%K +1.22%G +0.058% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.41%E +0.502%K +0.634%G +0.015% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.34%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +19.48%E +3.48%K +4.23%G +0.825% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.34%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.34%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -0.792%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -2.93%E -0.643%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +17.34%E +3.15%K +3.85%G +0.668% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +17.34%E +3.15%K +3.85%G +0.668% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +6.68%E +1.34%K +1.67%G +0.111% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +4.54%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -11.11%E -9.83%K -85.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +17.34%E +3.15%K +3.85%G +0.668% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.90%E -10.62%K -99.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.86% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.14% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |