La escuela de los momios

Talia Gibson v Clara Tauson

Inicio: 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Predicción 21.34%4.69momio equitativo
EV +19.48%
Ventaja +3.48%
Kelly +4.23%
Crecimiento +0.825%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.92%21.81%20.77%29.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.234.274.305.6030.96%23.40%23.26%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Predicción 78.66%1.27momio equitativo
EV +6.20%
Ventaja +4.59%
Kelly +17.71%
Crecimiento +1.10%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.52%78.19%79.23%83.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.211.201.3589.29%82.32%83.33%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -31.09%E -9.62%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV +6.20%E +4.59%K +17.71%G +1.10%5.0%2026-03-08 18:04
Pinnacle3.76I 26.60%NM 25.98%EV -19.78%E -5.26%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.02%EV +3.84%E +2.91%K +11.99%G +0.460%2.4%2026-03-08 17:59
LowVig.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -21.70%E -5.91%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.55%G +0.171%4.2%2026-03-08 18:00
BetOnline.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -21.70%E -5.91%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.55%G +0.171%4.2%2026-03-08 18:00
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -26.39%E -7.65%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.55%G +0.171%5.9%2026-03-08 18:00
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -19.99%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075%4.2%2026-03-08 18:11
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075%5.3%2026-03-08 18:00
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075%5.3%2026-03-08 17:59
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -25.33%E -7.24%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.48%E +1.15%K +5.10%G +0.075%6.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -22.13%E -6.06%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017%5.5%2026-03-08 18:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -25.33%E -7.24%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017%6.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.39%E -7.65%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -26.39%E -7.65%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV +0.691%E +0.540%K +2.47%G +0.017%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -19.99%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -0.096%E -0.075%K -0.354%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:59
GTbets3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -17.01%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -0.882%E -0.700%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -19.99%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -0.882%E -0.700%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:13
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -0.882%E -0.700%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:59
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:15
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.66%E -3.66%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:15
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.66%E -3.66%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.73%E -3.98%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 18:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:15
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.66%E -3.66%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 18:15
DraftKings4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV +4.76%E +0.968%K +1.22%G +0.058%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:14
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.41%E +0.502%K +0.634%G +0.015%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 18:14
NordicBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 18:15
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 18:15
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 18:14
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:15
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:15
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.34%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 18:13
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.86%E -0.404%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:14
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.99%E -0.887%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 18:14
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +19.48%E +3.48%K +4.23%G +0.825%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:14
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.34%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +1.34%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:15
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -0.792%E -0.170%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:13
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -2.93%E -0.643%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.54%E -8.29%K -63.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 18:14
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +17.34%E +3.15%K +3.85%G +0.668%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +17.34%E +3.15%K +3.85%G +0.668%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +6.68%E +1.34%K +1.67%G +0.111%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.32%E -9.05%K -73.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 18:14
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +4.54%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -11.11%E -9.83%K -85.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 18:14
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +17.34%E +3.15%K +3.85%G +0.668%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.90%E -10.62%K -99.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 18:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-03-08 18:15
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%2.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%3.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Novig4.72I 21.19%NM 19.86%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.14%6.7%2026-03-08 18:15