Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.47
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 45.33%; Ann Li (Visit): 54.67%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.98%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV +11.98%E +4.85%K +8.15%G +0.976% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -13.08%E -8.23%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +10.16%E +4.18%K +7.11%G +0.722% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV +9.26%E +3.84%K +6.56%G +0.608% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -16.91%E -11.12%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -13.08%E -8.23%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -13.63%E -8.63%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -15.27%E -9.85%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 21:22 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV +8.35%E +3.49%K +6.01%G +0.501% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +7.90%E +3.32%K +5.72%G +0.452% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +7.90%E +3.32%K +5.72%G +0.452% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:12 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +7.90%E +3.32%K +5.72%G +0.452% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -14.72%E -9.44%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV +7.44%E +3.14%K +5.43%G +0.404% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -12.53%E -7.83%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV +6.99%E +2.96%K +5.14%G +0.359% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.27%E -9.85%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.27%E -9.85%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -16.36%E -10.69%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.27%E +1.86%K +3.28%G +0.140% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.27%E +1.86%K +3.28%G +0.140% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.53%E -7.83%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.00%E +0.890%K +1.60%G +0.032% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.265%E -0.120%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.99%E -7.45%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -9.25%E -5.58%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -12.96%E -6.75%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |