La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Talia Gibson v Ann Li
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Talia Gibson (Local)
Predicción 45.33%2.21momio equitativo
EV +11.98%
Ventaja +4.85%
Kelly +8.15%
Crecimiento +0.976%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.68%44.53%45.77%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.172.122.4752.08%46.03%47.17%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ann Li (Visitante)
Predicción 54.67%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.890%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.47%54.23%61.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.671.681.8065.79%59.94%59.52%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV +11.98%E +4.85%K +8.15%G +0.976% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -13.08%E -8.23%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 21:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +10.16%E +4.18%K +7.11%G +0.722% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV +9.26%E +3.84%K +6.56%G +0.608% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -16.91%E -11.12%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 21:20 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -13.08%E -8.23%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -13.63%E -8.63%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +8.80%E +3.67%K +6.29%G +0.553% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -15.27%E -9.85%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 21:22 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV +8.35%E +3.49%K +6.01%G +0.501% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +7.90%E +3.32%K +5.72%G +0.452% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +7.90%E +3.32%K +5.72%G +0.452% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:12 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +7.90%E +3.32%K +5.72%G +0.452% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -14.72%E -9.44%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV +7.44%E +3.14%K +5.43%G +0.404% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -12.53%E -7.83%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV +6.99%E +2.96%K +5.14%G +0.359% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -14.17%E -9.03%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.27%E -9.85%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.27%E -9.85%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +6.54%E +2.78%K +4.84%G +0.316% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -16.36%E -10.69%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.27%E +1.86%K +3.28%G +0.140% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.27%E +1.86%K +3.28%G +0.140% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.53%E -7.83%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +2.00%E +0.890%K +1.60%G +0.032% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.265%E -0.120%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.99%E -7.45%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -9.25%E -5.58%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.44%E -7.06%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.890%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -12.96%E -6.75%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |