Language:English
Sonay Kartal v Emma Navarro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sonay Kartal (Local)
Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV +4.03%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +3.99%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%51.55%51.70%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.812.0158.48%54.61%55.10%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emma Navarro (Visit)
Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%48.45%48.30%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.931.942.0558.48%51.72%51.41%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sonay Kartal (Local): 51.75%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 48.25%. For Sonay Kartal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +4.03%E +2.00%K +3.99%G +0.160% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -12.19%E -6.70%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.53%E -9.56%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -17.50%E -10.23%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 20:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.15%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.878%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -1.67%E -0.878%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.70%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:57 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 20:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -2.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 20:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 20:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 20:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 20:57 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 20:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -8.91%E -5.06%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.91%E -5.06%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.10%E -0.534%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -10.98%E -6.39%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.10%E -0.534%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |