La escuela de los momios

Sonay Kartal v Emma Navarro

Inicio: 2026-03-07 21:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Predicción 51.75%1.93momio equitativo
EV +4.03%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +3.99%
Crecimiento +0.160%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.09%51.55%51.70%54.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.812.0158.48%54.61%55.10%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 48.25%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.48%48.45%48.30%53.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.931.942.0558.48%51.72%51.41%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +4.03%E +2.00%K +3.99%G +0.160%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -12.19%E -6.70%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:54
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.53%E -9.56%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:04
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -17.50%E -10.23%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 21:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:56
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.15%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.878%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:05
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -1.67%E -0.878%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:04
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.70%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:59
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:46
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:57
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 20:51
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:05
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -2.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 20:56
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 20:56
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:53
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 20:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 21:04
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:04
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 21:05
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 20:57
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 20:57
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:05
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:05
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 21:05
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -8.91%E -5.06%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.91%E -5.06%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 21:04
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.10%E -0.534%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:05
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 21:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -10.98%E -6.39%K -15.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 21:05
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.10%E -0.534%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-03-07 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-07 21:04
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-03-07 21:04
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-03-07 21:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%9.2%2026-03-07 21:05