Idioma:Español
Sonay Kartal v Emma Navarro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sonay Kartal (Local)
Predicción 51.75%1.93momio equitativo
EV +4.03%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +3.99%
Crecimiento +0.160%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.09%51.55%51.70%54.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.812.0158.48%54.61%55.10%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Emma Navarro (Visitante)
Predicción 48.25%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.48%48.45%48.30%53.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.931.942.0558.48%51.72%51.41%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sonay Kartal (Local): 51.75%; Emma Navarro (Visitante): 48.25%. Para Sonay Kartal (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.93. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.01, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +4.03%E +2.00%K +3.99%G +0.160% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -12.19%E -6.70%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.53%E -9.56%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +3.51%E +1.75%K +3.51%G +0.123% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -17.50%E -10.23%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 20:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.15%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.878%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -1.67%E -0.878%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -9.30%E -4.95%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.70%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:57 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 20:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -2.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 20:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 20:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 20:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.33%E -3.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 20:57 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 20:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.96%E -2.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -8.91%E -5.06%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -8.91%E -5.06%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.10%E -0.534%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.89%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -10.98%E -6.39%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.10%E -0.534%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |