Language:English
Peyton Stearns v Solana Sierra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Prediction 79.83%1.25fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -11.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.58%80.07%81.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.00%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Solana Sierra (Visit)
Prediction 20.17%4.96fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.566%
Kelly +0.705%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.79%20.42%19.93%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.614.505.1025.00%21.69%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 79.83%; Solana Sierra (Visit): 20.17%. For Solana Sierra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +2.89%E +0.566%K +0.705%G +0.020% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.89%E +0.566%K +0.705%G +0.020% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.89%E +0.566%K +0.705%G +0.020% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV +1.48%E +0.294%K +0.366%G +0.005% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.871%E +0.174%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 04:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.41%E -2.82%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 04:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 04:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.00%E -7.89%K -64.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.60%E -5.64%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -2.15%E -0.444%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.659%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.659%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:16 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.40%E -6.38%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.16%E -0.659%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 04:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -3.57%E -0.746%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -3.97%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.17%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.17%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.60%E -5.64%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.18%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -6.19%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.40%E -6.38%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:17 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.60%E -5.64%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.23%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.23%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 04:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.25%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.25%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.61%E -2.14%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.26%E -3.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.61%E -2.14%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.30%E -4.83%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 04:12 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.61%E -2.14%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.30%E -4.83%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 04:20 |