L’École des cotes

Peyton Stearns v Solana Sierra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 04:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prévision 79.83%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -11.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%79.58%80.07%81.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.00%84.03%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Solana Sierra (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.17%4.96cote équitable
EV +2.89%
Avantage +0.566%
Kelly +0.705%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%20.42%19.93%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.614.505.1025.00%21.69%22.22%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +2.89%E +0.566%K +0.705%G +0.020%3.6%2026-03-06 04:20
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.89%E +0.566%K +0.705%G +0.020%4.4%2026-03-06 04:20
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.89%E +0.566%K +0.705%G +0.020%4.4%2026-03-06 04:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV +1.48%E +0.294%K +0.366%G +0.005%3.2%2026-03-06 04:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.871%E +0.174%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-06 04:19
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.41%E -2.82%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 04:20
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 04:14
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:14
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:14
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -9.00%E -7.89%K -64.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -1.15%E -0.234%K -0.294%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 04:20
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.60%E -5.64%K -38.85%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -2.15%E -0.444%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 04:20
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.659%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.659%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:16
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.40%E -6.38%K -46.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.16%E -0.659%K -0.833%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 04:14
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.07%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.93%EV -3.57%E -0.746%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 04:20
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -3.97%E -0.834%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 04:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.17%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 04:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.17%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 04:20
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.60%E -5.64%K -38.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.18%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 04:20
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -6.19%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 04:20
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 04:20
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 04:20
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.40%E -6.38%K -46.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.20%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 04:20
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 04:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:19
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:17
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:19
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:19
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 04:20
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.01%E -4.21%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 04:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 04:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.60%E -5.64%K -38.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.23%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.23%E -2.55%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.81%E -4.92%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 04:19
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.25%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 04:20
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.21%E -3.51%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.25%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 04:20
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.61%E -2.14%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -14.26%E -3.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.61%E -2.14%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.30%E -4.83%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 04:12
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.61%E -2.14%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.30%E -4.83%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 04:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-06 04:20
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%3.5%2026-03-06 04:20