Language:English
Marta Kostyuk v Taylor Townsend
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Prediction 59.22%1.69fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.26%59.23%60.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.611.6565.79%62.12%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Townsend (Visit)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -0.080%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.21%40.74%40.77%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.37%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 59.22%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 40.78%. For Taylor Townsend (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.452. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.450, with an expected value of -0.080%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.29%E -1.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.42%E -3.27%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 03:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.48%E -2.13%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.12%E -0.883%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.30%E -0.538%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 03:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.30%E -0.538%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 03:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.61%E -2.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 04:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.38%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 04:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 03:32 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -6.44%E -4.07%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.080%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.44%E -4.07%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.57%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.44%E -4.07%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.38%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.62%E -4.89%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.12%E -0.883%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.62%E -4.89%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.99%E -6.57%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |