La escuela de los momios

Marta Kostyuk v Taylor Townsend

Inicio: 2026-03-08 04:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 59.22%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%59.26%59.23%60.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.611.611.6565.79%62.12%62.11%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Predicción 40.78%2.45momio equitativo
EV -0.080%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.21%40.74%40.77%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.37%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.29%E -1.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:20
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:19
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.42%E -3.27%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 03:44
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.48%E -2.13%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.12%E -0.883%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 04:25
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.30%E -0.538%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 03:44
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.30%E -0.538%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 03:44
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 03:34
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 03:34
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 03:34
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 03:34
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.61%E -2.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 04:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 04:10
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:34
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:13
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:18
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:19
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:10
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.38%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:24
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 04:04
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:34
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:34
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 03:34
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.66%E -2.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:19
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 03:34
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.75%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 04:19
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:04
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 04:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.25%E -3.28%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 04:14
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 03:32
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 03:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -6.44%E -4.07%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.080%E -0.032%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.44%E -4.07%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.57%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:34
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.44%E -4.07%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 04:19
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.38%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 04:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 03:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 03:34
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 04:09
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.62%E -4.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.12%E -0.883%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.62%E -4.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.93%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:54
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.99%E -6.57%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 03:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-08 04:24
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-08 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-08 04:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-08 04:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-03-08 04:25