Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 45.85%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 54.15%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.82%E -7.97%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.82%E -7.97%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.82%E -7.97%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +4.55%E +1.99%K +3.55%G +0.161% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -15.53%E -9.96%K -27.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.28%E -7.58%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.28%E -7.58%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -0.957%E -0.443%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.42%E -0.658%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.33%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.42%E -0.658%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.49%E -5.02%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.87%E -0.876%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.87%E -3.99%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -2.79%E -1.32%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -12.28%E -7.58%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.25%E -1.54%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.03%E -5.38%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.63%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.63%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -9.03%E -5.38%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.46%E -3.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.62%E -2.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 18:52 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.46%E -3.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.87%E -3.99%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.45%E -0.798%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.08%E -1.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.95%E -4.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.911%E -0.498%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.45%E -0.798%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.62%E -2.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -8.75%E -4.40%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -3.08%E -1.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.67%E -4.91%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.99%E -1.10%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.67%E -4.91%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.99%E -1.10%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -10.13%E -5.17%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -0.370%E -0.201%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.59%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -10.59%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.62%E -2.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.50%E -5.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -12.42%E -6.50%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +3.42%E +1.79%K +3.76%G +0.129% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 18:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -13.80%E -7.34%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.17%E -8.20%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.171%E +0.093%K +0.202%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.17%E -8.20%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.171%E +0.093%K +0.202%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -16.09%E -8.79%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +2.88%E +1.52%K +3.20%G +0.092% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |