La escuela de los momios

Marie Bouzkova v Taylor Townsend

Inicio: 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 45.85%2.18momio equitativo
EV +5.46%
Ventaja +2.37%
Kelly +4.20%
Crecimiento +0.230%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.94%45.69%46.04%50.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.082.052.3054.64%48.10%48.78%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Predicción 54.15%1.85momio equitativo
EV +3.42%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +3.76%
Crecimiento +0.129%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.06%54.31%53.96%59.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.721.741.9164.10%57.98%57.47%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 19:15
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.82%E -7.97%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.82%E -7.97%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +5.46%E +2.37%K +4.20%G +0.230%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.82%E -7.97%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +4.55%E +1.99%K +3.55%G +0.161%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.17%E +1.41%K +2.54%G +0.080%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -15.53%E -9.96%K -27.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:14
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.28%E -7.58%K -19.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.28%E -7.58%K -19.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +0.877%E +0.399%K +0.731%G +0.006%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -13.37%E -8.35%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -0.957%E -0.443%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.42%E -0.658%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.33%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.42%E -0.658%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.49%E -5.02%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.87%E -0.876%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.87%E -3.99%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -2.79%E -1.32%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -12.28%E -7.58%K -19.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.25%E -1.54%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 19:00
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 19:00
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:19
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:19
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.03%E -5.38%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.63%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.63%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -9.03%E -5.38%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.66%E -6.46%K -16.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 19:20
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.46%E -3.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.62%E -2.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 18:52
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.46%E -3.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.87%E -3.99%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.45%E -0.798%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 18:59
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.08%E -1.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.38%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.95%E -4.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 19:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.911%E -0.498%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 19:19
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.45%E -0.798%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 19:05
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.62%E -2.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.33%E -3.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -8.75%E -4.40%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -3.08%E -1.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:05
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:00
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.67%E -4.91%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.99%E -1.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.67%E -4.91%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.99%E -1.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:00
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -10.13%E -5.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -0.370%E -0.201%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:09
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.59%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.54%E -1.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -10.59%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.62%E -2.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.50%E -5.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.24%E -3.00%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -12.42%E -6.50%K -13.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +3.42%E +1.79%K +3.76%G +0.129%4.7%2026-03-05 18:58
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -13.80%E -7.34%K -15.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.17%E -8.20%K -17.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.171%E +0.093%K +0.202%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.17%E -8.20%K -17.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.171%E +0.093%K +0.202%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -16.09%E -8.79%K -19.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +2.88%E +1.52%K +3.20%G +0.092%7.3%2026-03-05 19:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%4.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%5.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20