Language:English
Madison Keys v Sonay Kartal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 63.85%1.57fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.86%63.73%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.481.5470.42%67.27%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sonay Kartal (Visit)
Prediction 36.15%2.77fair odd
EV -0.593%
Edge -0.215%
Kelly -0.339%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.14%36.27%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.622.7540.82%38.00%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 63.85%; Sonay Kartal (Visit): 36.15%. For Sonay Kartal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.593%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.31%E -1.51%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.74%E -2.61%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.31%E -1.51%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.954%E -0.348%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.12%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.12%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.44%E -4.67%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.593%E -0.215%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.86%E -3.26%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.86%E -3.26%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 00:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 11:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 11:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 00:52 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -0.954%E -0.348%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.78%E -4.64%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.593%E -0.215%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.93%E -1.87%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.93%E -1.87%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 23:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90% | 1.3% | 2026-03-10 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-03-10 00:49 |