La escuela de los momios

Madison Keys v Sonay Kartal

Inicio: 2026-03-10 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Predicción 63.85%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%63.86%63.73%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.481.5470.42%67.27%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sonay Kartal (Visitante)

Predicción 36.15%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.593%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.339%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.14%36.27%38.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.622.7540.82%38.00%38.17%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:29
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.31%E -1.51%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.74%E -2.61%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 18:04
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.31%E -1.51%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 15:24
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.954%E -0.348%K -0.548%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-10 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.12%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 00:39
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.12%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 00:40
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 00:29
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.95%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.44%E -4.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 00:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.593%E -0.215%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 00:54
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 00:54
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:04
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 00:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 13:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 13:44
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 00:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.82%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 13:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 18:04
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.86%E -3.26%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.86%E -3.26%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.29%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:34
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 00:33
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 11:59
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 11:59
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 11:59
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 11:59
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.40%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:00
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 00:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:49
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:39
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 00:52
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 00:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:50
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:04
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:05
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 00:54
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 23:05
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 23:04
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -0.954%E -0.348%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 00:49
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 00:49
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.78%E -4.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:49
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.593%E -0.215%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 00:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.93%E -1.87%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.93%E -1.87%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.01%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 00:29
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 23:49
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-03-10 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-03-10 00:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-10 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-10 00:50
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.3%2026-03-10 00:45
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-10 00:49