Language:English
Laura Siegemund v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Prediction 6.48%15.44fair odd
EV +55.43%
Edge +2.31%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +1.34%
assuming max odds 24.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.08%6.84%6.34%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.0012.7912.7524.0016.67%7.82%7.84%4.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 93.52%1.07fair odd
EV +4.75%
Edge +4.24%
Kelly +39.56%
Growth +1.88%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.27%93.16%93.66%95.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.021.1299.01%96.60%98.04%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laura Siegemund (Local): 6.48%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 93.52%. For Laura Siegemund (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.44. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 24.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +55.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -57.32%E -8.70%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 04:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -57.32%E -8.70%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 04:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -61.14%E -10.19%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -61.14%E -10.19%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 13.14%EV -52.92%E -7.28%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.86%EV +2.88%E +2.61%K +28.76%G +0.827% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -54.67%E -7.81%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +2.88%E +2.61%K +28.76%G +0.827% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -57.91%E -8.91%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV +2.88%E +2.61%K +28.76%G +0.827% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -54.02%E -7.61%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV +1.94%E +1.78%K +21.57%G +0.419% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -48.84%E -6.18%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV +1.01%E +0.931%K +12.57%G +0.126% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.91%E -8.91%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.01%E +0.931%K +12.57%G +0.126% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.05%E -7.32%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.071%E +0.066%K +1.01%G +0.001% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.05%E -7.32%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.071%E +0.066%K +1.01%G +0.001% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 21.90I 4.57%NM 4.53%EV +41.83%E +1.91%K +2.00%G +0.837% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.47%EV -2.74%E -2.63%K -68.38%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +16.57%E +0.921%K +0.975%G +0.161% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +55.43%E +2.31%K +2.41%G +1.34% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +36.00%E +1.71%K +1.80%G +0.648% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +16.57%E +0.921%K +0.975%G +0.161% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -19.05%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -19.05%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -19.05%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -28.76%E -2.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -28.76%E -2.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -38.48%E -4.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV +0.379%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 04:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 04:52 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:53 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -25.53%E -2.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 04:52 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -28.76%E -2.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 04:52 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -35.24%E -3.52%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 04:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
| Novig◎ | 13.89I 7.20%NM 6.72% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.28% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 04:54 |