L’École des cotes

Laura Siegemund v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 04:56 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Prévision 6.48%15.44cote équitable
EV +55.43%
Avantage +2.31%
Kelly +2.41%
Croissance +1.34%

avec la cote maximale 24.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.08%6.84%6.34%15.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.0012.7912.7524.0016.67%7.82%7.84%4.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 93.52%1.07cote équitable
EV +4.75%
Avantage +4.24%
Kelly +39.56%
Croissance +1.88%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.27%93.16%93.66%95.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.021.1299.01%96.60%98.04%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -57.32%E -8.70%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88%4.5%2026-03-08 04:46
BetOnline.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -57.32%E -8.70%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88%4.5%2026-03-08 04:46
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -61.14%E -10.19%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88%6.0%2026-03-08 04:45
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -61.14%E -10.19%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +4.75%E +4.24%K +39.56%G +1.88%6.0%2026-03-08 04:39
GTbets7.27I 13.76%NM 13.14%EV -52.92%E -7.28%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.86%EV +2.88%E +2.61%K +28.76%G +0.827%4.7%2026-03-08 04:39
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -54.67%E -7.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +2.88%E +2.61%K +28.76%G +0.827%5.2%2026-03-08 04:39
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -57.91%E -8.91%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV +2.88%E +2.61%K +28.76%G +0.827%6.3%2026-03-08 04:40
Unibet (FR)7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -54.02%E -7.61%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV +1.94%E +1.78%K +21.57%G +0.419%5.8%2026-03-08 04:39
1xBet7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -48.84%E -6.18%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV +1.01%E +0.931%K +12.57%G +0.126%5.3%2026-03-08 04:40
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.91%E -8.91%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.01%E +0.931%K +12.57%G +0.126%8.0%2026-03-08 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.05%E -7.32%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.071%E +0.066%K +1.01%G +0.001%7.3%2026-03-08 04:40
Neds7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -53.05%E -7.32%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV +0.071%E +0.066%K +1.01%G +0.001%7.3%2026-03-08 04:39
Pinnacle21.90I 4.57%NM 4.53%EV +41.83%E +1.91%K +2.00%G +0.837%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.47%EV -2.74%E -2.63%K -68.38%G +0.000%0.7%2026-03-08 04:54
Winamax (FR)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +16.57%E +0.921%K +0.975%G +0.161%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:55
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 04:55
DraftKings24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +55.43%E +2.31%K +2.41%G +1.34%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-08 04:54
BoyleSports21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +36.00%E +1.71%K +1.80%G +0.648%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 04:54
Coral19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 04:55
Winamax (DE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 04:54
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +16.57%E +0.921%K +0.975%G +0.161%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Coolbet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:54
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:53
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:54
Unibet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:55
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:54
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:54
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:54
betPARX14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:54
Hard Rock Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.33%E -0.667%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:54
NordicBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -19.05%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:55
Betsson12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -19.05%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:55
TABtouch12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -19.05%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:54
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 04:53
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -28.76%E -2.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:51
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -28.76%E -2.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:54
Fliff9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -38.48%E -4.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.61%E -4.52%K -230.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 04:50
Betway19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +23.05%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.295%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 04:54
BetMGM15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV +0.379%E +0.024%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 04:53
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:55
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:54
888sport (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:55
Mr Green (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -2.86%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:55
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 04:52
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.81%E -1.22%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 04:54
Bet Victor12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 04:53
Grosvenor12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 04:54
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 04:54
LiveScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 04:54
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.29%E -1.86%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -25.53%E -2.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 04:52
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -28.76%E -2.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 04:52
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -35.24%E -3.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.54%E -5.49%K -554.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 04:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-03-08 04:55
Smarkets25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-03-08 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-03-08 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-03-08 04:55
Matchbook23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71%1.4%2026-03-08 04:55
Novig13.89I 7.20%NM 6.72%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.28%7.2%2026-03-08 04:54