Language:English
Katerina Siniakova v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 22.69%4.41fair odd
EV +24.80%
Edge +4.51%
Kelly +5.51%
Growth +1.37%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%22.61%22.84%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.104.005.5030.30%24.36%25.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 77.31%1.29fair odd
EV +0.501%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%77.39%77.16%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.231.221.3087.72%81.50%81.97%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 22.69%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 77.31%. For Katerina Siniakova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +24.80%E +4.51%K +5.51%G +1.37% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -11.10%E -9.65%K -73.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 18.24%EV +22.08%E +4.10%K +5.04%G +1.11% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +15.73%E +3.08%K +3.84%G +0.603% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.46%E +2.69%K +3.36%G +0.453% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.87%E -10.41%K -84.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +10.05%E +2.07%K +2.61%G +0.263% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -8.00%E -6.73%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +7.78%E +1.64%K +2.08%G +0.162% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +5.52%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -8.00%E -6.73%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +4.38%E +0.952%K +1.22%G +0.053% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.11%E +0.469%K +0.603%G +0.013% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.11%E +0.469%K +0.603%G +0.013% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.78%E -7.44%K -48.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.157%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.157%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.157%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.297%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 22:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.70%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.78%E -7.44%K -48.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 22:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.70%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.78%E -7.44%K -48.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 22:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.36%E -2.69%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -14.68%E -3.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.91%E -3.98%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -15.13%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -16.04%E -4.34%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -0.272%E -0.211%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -16.04%E -4.34%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -17.18%E -4.71%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -17.18%E -4.71%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -2.59%E -2.06%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -17.86%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.272%E -0.211%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 13:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-11 22:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -25.12%E -7.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +0.501%E +0.385%K +1.67%G +0.008% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 11:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -25.12%E -7.61%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +0.501%E +0.385%K +1.67%G +0.008% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 11:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |