La escuela de los momios

Katerina Siniakova v Elina Svitolina

Inicio: 2026-03-11 22:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Predicción 22.69%4.41momio equitativo
EV +24.80%
Ventaja +4.51%
Kelly +5.51%
Crecimiento +1.37%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%22.61%22.84%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.104.005.5030.30%24.36%25.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 77.31%1.29momio equitativo
EV +0.501%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%77.39%77.16%82.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.231.221.3087.72%81.50%81.97%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +24.80%E +4.51%K +5.51%G +1.37%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -11.10%E -9.65%K -73.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:14
Pinnacle5.38I 18.59%NM 18.24%EV +22.08%E +4.10%K +5.04%G +1.11%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-11 22:15
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +15.73%E +3.08%K +3.84%G +0.603%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.46%E +2.69%K +3.36%G +0.453%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.87%E -10.41%K -84.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 22:15
DraftKings4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +10.05%E +2.07%K +2.61%G +0.263%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -8.00%E -6.73%K -42.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +7.78%E +1.64%K +2.08%G +0.162%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 22:14
theScore Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +5.52%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -8.00%E -6.73%K -42.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 22:15
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +4.38%E +0.952%K +1.22%G +0.053%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.11%E +0.469%K +0.603%G +0.013%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 22:14
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.11%E +0.469%K +0.603%G +0.013%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.78%E -7.44%K -48.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:15
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.157%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:15
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -0.157%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:15
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.157%E -0.036%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 22:14
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.297%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 22:12
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 22:15
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 22:15
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.70%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.78%E -7.44%K -48.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 22:11
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.70%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.78%E -7.44%K -48.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 22:15
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 22:15
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 22:15
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:14
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:15
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:15
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:15
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 22:08
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 22:09
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 22:11
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.91%E -3.99%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 22:15
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 22:15
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 22:15
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.36%E -2.69%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 22:10
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:10
GTbets3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -14.68%E -3.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:05
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -14.91%E -3.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:15
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -15.13%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 22:05
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -16.04%E -4.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -0.272%E -0.211%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 21:45
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -16.04%E -4.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -17.18%E -4.71%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -1.82%E -1.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 21:55
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -17.18%E -4.71%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -2.59%E -2.06%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 22:09
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -17.86%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 22:04
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.272%E -0.211%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 13:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 22:05
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 13:01
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.05%E -0.817%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 21:55
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -18.31%E -5.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 22:08
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -25.12%E -7.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +0.501%E +0.385%K +1.67%G +0.008%7.2%2026-03-10 11:49
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -25.12%E -7.61%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +0.501%E +0.385%K +1.67%G +0.008%7.2%2026-03-10 11:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-03-11 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-03-11 22:15
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-03-11 22:15
Novig5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%2.8%2026-03-11 22:15
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-03-11 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%3.8%2026-03-11 22:15