Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 2.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaqueline Cristian (Local): 53.61%; Maya Joint (Visit): 46.39%. For Jaqueline Cristian (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +12.59%E +6.00%K +11.45%G +1.44% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -20.68%E -12.09%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +9.91%E +4.83%K +9.44%G +0.935% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -19.75%E -11.42%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -17.90%E -10.11%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -19.75%E -11.42%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -19.75%E -11.42%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV +5.09%E +2.59%K +5.30%G +0.269% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -18.36%E -10.43%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +4.55%E +2.33%K +4.79%G +0.218% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +4.55%E +2.33%K +4.79%G +0.218% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.33%E +0.705%K +1.50%G +0.020% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -10.94%E -5.70%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -13.72%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -13.72%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.812%E -0.439%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.812%E -0.439%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.812%E -0.439%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.33%E -6.52%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -15.58%E -8.56%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.57%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -10.01%E -5.16%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -12.07%E -7.36%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +10.86%E +4.54%K +7.81%G +0.849% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -12.61%E -7.73%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV +10.86%E +4.54%K +7.81%G +0.849% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +12.25%E +5.06%K +8.63%G +1.06% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 23:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +11.32%E +4.72%K +8.09%G +0.916% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV +6.22%E +2.72%K +4.82%G +0.300% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +2.05%E +0.931%K +1.71%G +0.035% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +2.05%E +0.931%K +1.71%G +0.035% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -13.68%E -8.50%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +9.01%E +3.83%K +6.67%G +0.601% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -13.68%E -8.50%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +9.01%E +3.83%K +6.67%G +0.601% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -13.68%E -8.50%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV +8.54%E +3.65%K +6.37%G +0.544% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +9.01%E +3.83%K +6.67%G +0.601% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +8.54%E +3.65%K +6.37%G +0.544% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +7.61%E +3.28%K +5.77%G +0.439% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +7.61%E +3.28%K +5.77%G +0.439% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -15.29%E -9.68%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +11.32%E +4.72%K +8.09%G +0.916% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.29%E -9.68%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -15.82%E -10.08%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +10.40%E +4.37%K +7.53%G +0.783% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.36%E -10.49%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +4.37%E +1.94%K +3.49%G +0.153% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 23:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -17.43%E -11.32%K -32.28%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV +9.47%E +4.01%K +6.96%G +0.659% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 23:09 |