La escuela de los momios

Jaqueline Cristian v Maya Joint

Inicio: 2026-03-06 23:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Predicción 53.61%1.87momio equitativo
EV +12.59%
Ventaja +6.00%
Kelly +11.45%
Crecimiento +1.44%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%53.32%52.63%60.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.771.792.1064.94%56.55%55.87%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maya Joint (Visitante)

Predicción 46.39%2.16momio equitativo
EV +12.25%
Ventaja +5.06%
Kelly +8.63%
Crecimiento +1.06%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.49%46.68%47.37%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.712.052.002.4258.48%48.73%50.00%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +12.59%E +6.00%K +11.45%G +1.44%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -20.68%E -12.09%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 23:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +9.91%E +4.83%K +9.44%G +0.935%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -19.75%E -11.42%K -27.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 23:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:10
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -17.90%E -10.11%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 23:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -19.75%E -11.42%K -27.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 23:09
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +7.23%E +3.61%K +7.23%G +0.523%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -19.75%E -11.42%K -27.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV +5.09%E +2.59%K +5.30%G +0.269%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -18.36%E -10.43%K -24.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 23:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +4.55%E +2.33%K +4.79%G +0.218%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +4.55%E +2.33%K +4.79%G +0.218%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 23:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:10
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:09
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 23:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +2.40%E +1.26%K +2.64%G +0.064%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 23:10
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.33%E +0.705%K +1.50%G +0.020%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -10.94%E -5.70%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -13.72%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 23:10
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -13.72%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 23:09
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:10
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV +0.796%E +0.423%K +0.905%G +0.007%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.812%E -0.439%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.812%E -0.439%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.812%E -0.439%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.33%E -6.52%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 23:09
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 23:10
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -15.58%E -8.56%K -19.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 23:09
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 23:09
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 23:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.57%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 23:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.23%E -3.61%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 23:09
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -10.01%E -5.16%K -10.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:09
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -12.07%E -7.36%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV +10.86%E +4.54%K +7.81%G +0.849%2.8%2026-03-06 23:00
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -12.61%E -7.73%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV +10.86%E +4.54%K +7.81%G +0.849%3.2%2026-03-06 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +12.25%E +5.06%K +8.63%G +1.06%3.1%2026-03-06 23:02
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +11.32%E +4.72%K +8.09%G +0.916%3.4%2026-03-06 23:00
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV +6.22%E +2.72%K +4.82%G +0.300%5.4%2026-03-06 22:59
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +2.05%E +0.931%K +1.71%G +0.035%7.2%2026-03-06 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +2.05%E +0.931%K +1.71%G +0.035%7.2%2026-03-06 16:45
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -13.68%E -8.50%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +9.01%E +3.83%K +6.67%G +0.601%4.7%2026-03-06 17:05
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -13.68%E -8.50%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +9.01%E +3.83%K +6.67%G +0.601%4.7%2026-03-06 22:10
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -13.68%E -8.50%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV +8.54%E +3.65%K +6.37%G +0.544%4.8%2026-03-06 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +9.01%E +3.83%K +6.67%G +0.601%5.1%2026-03-06 22:49
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +8.54%E +3.65%K +6.37%G +0.544%5.2%2026-03-06 22:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344%6.0%2026-03-06 22:40
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344%6.0%2026-03-06 21:25
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +7.61%E +3.28%K +5.77%G +0.439%6.0%2026-03-06 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV +7.61%E +3.28%K +5.77%G +0.439%6.0%2026-03-06 23:00
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344%6.4%2026-03-06 10:55
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -14.75%E -9.28%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344%6.4%2026-03-06 22:56
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -15.29%E -9.68%K -26.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +11.32%E +4.72%K +8.09%G +0.916%5.0%2026-03-06 22:54
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.29%E -9.68%K -26.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.69%E +2.91%K +5.14%G +0.344%6.8%2026-03-06 22:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -15.82%E -10.08%K -27.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +10.40%E +4.37%K +7.53%G +0.783%5.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.36%E -10.49%K -29.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +4.37%E +1.94%K +3.49%G +0.153%8.5%2026-03-06 23:03
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -17.43%E -11.32%K -32.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV +9.47%E +4.01%K +6.96%G +0.659%7.3%2026-03-06 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-03-06 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-03-06 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-03-06 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-03-06 23:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 50.93%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%6.7%2026-03-06 23:09