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Hailey Baptiste v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hailey Baptiste (Local)
Prediction 11.28%8.87fair odd
EV +15.02%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.245%
assuming max odds 10.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.41%11.26%11.34%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.488.5010.2014.29%11.79%11.76%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 88.72%1.13fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -36.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.53%88.74%88.66%90.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.60%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hailey Baptiste (Local): 11.28%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 88.72%. For Hailey Baptiste (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.87. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +15.02%E +1.47%K +1.63%G +0.245% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.76%E +1.28%K +1.42%G +0.181% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +11.64%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.152% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.61%E -8.36%K -287.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +1.26%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.71%EV +0.585%E +0.066%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.29%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -0.768%E -0.087%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -0.768%E -0.087%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.33%E -0.152%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.82%EV -2.46%E -0.284%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.18%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -3.02%E -0.352%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.48I 11.79%NM 11.39%EV -4.38%E -0.516%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.61%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -6.41%E -0.772%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.97%E -0.845%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.97%E -0.845%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -6.97%E -0.845%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 15:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -7.53%E -0.919%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 11:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -11.14%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -11.14%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.61%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.61%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.43%E -2.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.07%E -3.01%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.07%E -3.01%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.07%E -3.01%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 8.77I 11.40%NM 11.23% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.77% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |