Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hailey Baptiste v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Prévision 11.28%8.87cote équitable
EV +15.02%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.245%

avec la cote maximale 10.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.41%11.26%11.34%13.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.488.5010.2014.29%11.79%11.76%9.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 88.72%1.13cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -3.02%
Kelly -36.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.53%88.74%88.66%90.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.60%93.46%91.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hailey Baptiste (Local) : 11.28% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 88.72%. Pour Hailey Baptiste (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.87. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.20, soit une espérance positive de +15.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +15.02%E +1.47%K +1.63%G +0.245%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 18:09
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.76%E +1.28%K +1.42%G +0.181%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 18:10
DraftKings🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +11.64%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.152%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 15:05
BoyleSports🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:45
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:45
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Bally Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:45
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +1.49%E +0.165%K +0.186%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.61%E -8.36%K -287.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:39
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +1.26%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:54
GTbets🎯8.92I 11.21%NM 10.71%EV +0.585%E +0.066%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.29%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 18:44
Betsson🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -0.768%E -0.087%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:14
NordicBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV -0.768%E -0.087%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:14
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.33%E -0.152%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 15:34
Fliff🎯8.65I 11.56%NM 10.82%EV -2.46%E -0.284%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.18%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -3.02%E -0.352%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:54
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 11:40
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 11:20
Fanatics🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 18:04
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.15%E -0.488%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:09
Pinnacle🎯8.48I 11.79%NM 11.39%EV -4.38%E -0.516%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.61%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -6.41%E -0.772%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.97%E -0.845%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.97%E -0.845%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 18:54
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -6.97%E -0.845%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -7.53%E -0.919%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:40
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 13:35
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:39
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:44
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 13:30
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.95%E -5.62%K -99.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 11:40
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.79%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.84%E -6.51%K -136.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -11.14%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -11.14%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 11:40
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.61%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 16:30
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.61%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 11:40
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.43%E -2.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 11:40
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.07%E -3.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.29%E -3.02%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:39
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.07%E -3.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.18%E -3.87%K -52.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:20
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.07%E -3.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.07%E -4.73%K -72.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-03-07 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-03-07 18:54
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-03-07 18:55
Novig8.77I 11.40%NM 11.23%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.77%1.5%2026-03-07 18:45
Smarkets9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%2.6%2026-03-07 18:54