Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 1.57
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 37.10%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 62.90%. For Elsa Jacquemot (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.02%E +0.736%K +1.16%G +0.023% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.79%E -6.07%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.911%E +0.335%K +0.529%G +0.005% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.911%E +0.335%K +0.529%G +0.005% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.169%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.79%E -6.07%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.32%E -0.494%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.06%E -0.779%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.17%E -5.59%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.54%E -5.13%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -6.88%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.36%E -3.39%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |