L’École des cotes

Elsa Jacquemot v Anna Bondár

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 22:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elsa Jacquemot (Local)

Prévision 37.10%2.70cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.736%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%37.05%37.04%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7542.02%39.62%40.00%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Bondár (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.90%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%62.95%62.96%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.521.5768.97%65.94%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.02%E +0.736%K +1.16%G +0.023%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.79%E -6.07%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:00
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.911%E +0.335%K +0.529%G +0.005%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.911%E +0.335%K +0.529%G +0.005%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 22:05
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.169%E +0.062%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.79%E -6.07%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:00
DraftKings2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.32%E -0.494%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.69%E -0.636%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:02
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.06%E -0.779%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:05
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 21:59
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.80%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 22:05
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:05
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.54%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.17%E -5.59%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:05
PointsBet (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.28%E -1.66%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:00
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:00
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.28%E -4.21%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 22:05
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.54%E -5.13%K -16.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:59
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.91%E -4.67%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:00
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -6.88%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.13%E -2.03%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 22:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.02%E -3.32%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:59
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 22:05
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.36%E -3.39%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 22:00
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 22:00
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.76%E -2.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 22:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.39%E -2.89%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 22:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 21:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.65%E -3.77%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 22:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 21:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 21:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.25%E -0.794%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 21:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-03-05 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-03-05 22:05
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-05 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-03-05 22:05
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%1.9%2026-03-05 22:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-03-05 22:05