Language:English
Elise Mertens v Cristina Bucsa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 65.47%1.53fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -7.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.07%65.50%65.63%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.431.441.4774.07%69.83%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cristina Bucsa (Visit)
Prediction 34.53%2.90fair odd
EV +7.04%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +3.35%
Growth +0.236%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%34.50%34.37%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.753.1039.22%36.34%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 65.47%; Cristina Bucsa (Visit): 34.53%. For Cristina Bucsa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -11.61%E -8.60%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +7.04%E +2.27%K +3.35%G +0.236% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.86%E +0.631%K +0.954%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.96%E -8.06%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.86%E +0.631%K +0.954%G +0.018% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.557%E -0.193%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.65%E -6.99%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -0.557%E -0.193%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 00:17 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.94%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.94%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.96%E -8.06%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 00:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.35%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -5.39%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.69%E -5.45%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.69%E -5.45%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -7.12%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 00:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 00:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |