La scuola delle quote

Elise Mertens v Cristina Bucsa

Inizio: 2026-03-08 00:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elise Mertens (Casa)

Previsione 65.47%1.53quota equa
EV -3.76%
Vantaggio -2.56%
Kelly -7.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.07%65.50%65.63%69.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.431.441.4774.07%69.83%69.44%68.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cristina Bucsa (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.53%2.90quota equa
EV +7.04%
Vantaggio +2.27%
Kelly +3.35%
Crescita +0.236%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.34%34.50%34.37%35.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.752.753.1039.22%36.34%36.36%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -11.61%E -8.60%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +7.04%E +2.27%K +3.35%G +0.236%6.3%2026-03-08 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.86%E +0.631%K +0.954%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-08 00:39
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.96%E -8.06%K -30.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.86%E +0.631%K +0.954%G +0.018%7.4%2026-03-08 00:39
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.557%E -0.193%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.65%E -6.99%K -25.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -0.557%E -0.193%K -0.296%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:39
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 00:17
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.94%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 00:39
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.94%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 00:39
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 00:18
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 00:14
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:40
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:14
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:39
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.96%E -8.06%K -30.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 00:40
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.01%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:38
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.35%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:34
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:19
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:39
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 00:39
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 00:39
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 00:39
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 00:19
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -5.39%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:19
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:19
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:19
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:39
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:39
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:19
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.69%E -5.45%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.69%E -5.45%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:39
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -7.12%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.53%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:35
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.22%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 00:38
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.95%E -4.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 00:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-08 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%2.7%2026-03-08 00:39
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%3.1%2026-03-08 00:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%8.4%2026-03-08 00:39