A Escola das Odds

Elina Svitolina v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-03-12 22:19 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Previsão 28.44%3.52odd justa
EV +8.35%
Vantagem +2.19%
Kelly +2.97%
Crescimento +0.248%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.25%28.79%27.51%33.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.253.253.8136.36%30.75%30.77%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 71.56%1.40odd justa
EV +0.185%
Vantagem +0.132%
Kelly +0.463%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%71.21%72.49%74.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.331.331.4080.00%75.16%75.19%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.81I 26.25%NM 25.59%EV +8.35%E +2.19%K +2.97%G +0.248%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.41%EV -6.26%E -4.77%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 22:05
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +6.65%E +1.77%K +2.42%G +0.161%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:00
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +5.22%E +1.41%K +1.94%G +0.101%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 22:00
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +5.22%E +1.41%K +1.94%G +0.101%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +5.22%E +1.41%K +1.94%G +0.101%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 21:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +5.22%E +1.41%K +1.94%G +0.101%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -10.55%E -8.44%K -42.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:00
FanDuel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +3.80%E +1.04%K +1.43%G +0.055%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 22:10
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +3.80%E +1.04%K +1.43%G +0.055%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.12%E -7.18%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:14
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV +3.80%E +1.04%K +1.43%G +0.055%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -9.83%E -7.80%K -37.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 21:59
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.38%E +0.661%K +0.916%G +0.022%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:00
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +2.38%E +0.661%K +0.916%G +0.022%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.40%E -6.56%K -30.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 22:00
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV +2.10%E +0.584%K +0.809%G +0.017%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:00
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.959%E +0.270%K +0.376%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:00
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +0.959%E +0.270%K +0.376%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.40%E -6.56%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:00
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.463%E -0.132%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 22:15
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.463%E -0.132%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 21:54
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.463%E -0.132%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 22:14
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.463%E -0.132%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 22:00
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.463%E -0.132%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:10
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.463%E -0.132%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:00
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.89%E -0.546%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 22:13
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -1.89%E -0.546%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -10.55%E -8.44%K -42.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 22:03
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.31%E -0.973%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:59
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.82%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:15
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:00
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:15
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.11%E -3.07%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 22:15
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.11%E -3.07%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 22:15
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.82%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:15
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:15
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.82%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.26%E -4.77%K -20.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 22:14
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.25%E -0.903%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.82%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:15
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.25%E -0.903%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:15
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.25%E -0.903%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:15
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.25%E -0.903%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:15
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.25%E -0.903%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:15
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.185%E +0.132%K +0.463%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-12 22:15
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.39%E -2.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:15
DraftKings2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -14.97%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV +0.185%E +0.132%K +0.463%G +0.001%4.9%2026-03-12 22:15
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -16.10%E -5.46%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -3.39%E -2.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -16.10%E -5.46%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -4.11%E -3.07%K -12.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:15
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -17.53%E -6.04%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -1.96%E -1.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 22:15
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -18.10%E -6.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -18.10%E -6.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.37%E -7.28%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.185%E +0.132%K +0.463%G +0.001%7.1%2026-03-12 22:15
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.37%E -7.28%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.185%E +0.132%K +0.463%G +0.001%7.1%2026-03-12 22:15
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -20.37%E -7.28%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -1.96%E -1.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.37%E -7.28%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.79%E -7.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +0.185%E +0.132%K +0.463%G +0.001%7.8%2026-03-12 22:15
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.79%E -7.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +0.185%E +0.132%K +0.463%G +0.001%7.8%2026-03-12 22:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%0.0%2026-03-12 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-03-12 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-12 22:15
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-03-12 22:15
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%2.9%2026-03-12 22:15
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%3.2%2026-03-12 22:15